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App\Entity\Article {#1094
  -id: 7745
  -title: "Quantum Shifts in Cryptocurrency Investing"
  -slug: "quantum-shifts-in-cryptocurrency-investing"
  -introtext: "<p><span style="color: #000000;">For as long as there have been markets, there have been investors trying to get an edge in them, and quantum computing is the latest shiny tool that is being touted, but can it work?</span></p>\r\n"
  -content: """
    \r\n
    <p id="86c8" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em il" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;"><span class="s im in io ip iq ir is it iu hm">M</span>eaghan Carter couldn’t put a finger on what was ailing her fourteen-year-old daughter Peggy. A cheerful, happy child, Peggy had blossomed into a “tweenager” yet had never manifested any of the predictable maladies that that age was supposed to have ushered in.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="9d32" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">But of late, Carter noticed that her typically bubbly and sociable daughter was turning petulant, and was concerned about cyberbullying or other things that could be happening to her at school.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="b6b0" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Determined to get to the bottom of the mystery, Carter, who enjoyed an extremely close relationship with her eldest child, broached the topic in the gentlest way possible.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="b2bb" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Fortunately, Peggy’s problems weren’t social or psychological, they were physiological,</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="bdd3" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">“I don’t know Mom, it’s nothing at school. Friends are great and I’m doing well, it’s just that I feel everything sometimes, and all at once.”</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="0968" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Carter heaved a sigh of relief that only another parent could heave — Peggy was simply experiencing puberty in all its hormonal and emotion-conflicting glory.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="dccd" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">As teenagers undergo puberty, chemical changes in their body can cause them to experience a plethora of emotions, often at conflict with one another and almost always all at once.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="39d4" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And typically, most parents can do nothing more than to stand back and helplessly respond as best as they can as their once balanced child becomes unpredictable and moves through various state changes.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="bf20" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">But what if there was a way to not only predict those simultaneous state changes, but to respond to them as well?</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="9a97" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">What sorcery is this I hear you ask?</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="510b" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">If it’s to be believed, that witchcraft is none other than quantum computing.</span></p>\r\n
    <h2 id="e919" class="iv iw dp cg ix iy iz eq ja jb jc et jd eu je ew jf ex jg ez jh fa ji fc jj jk em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #10228b;">Quantum Statements</span></h2>\r\n
    <p><img src="/images/Quantum_Shifts_in_Cryptocurrency_Investing.jpeg" alt="Quantum_Shifts_in_Cryptocurrency_Investing.jpeg" width="660" height="440" /></p>\r\n
    <p id="260c" class="hp hq dp hr b eo jl ht hu er jm hw hx hy jn ia ib ic jo ie if ig jp ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;"><br />For the uninitiated, traditional computers, are state computers — in other words calculations are based on states, or binary (either on or off).</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="0167" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Over the decades, advances in computing have been directly related to increasing the number of calculations or state changes that a processor can manage.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="25d7" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">But the problem with state computing is that it is by definition exclusionary — if you prosecute one state, you immediately exclude the other possibility.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="4083" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And this limits the number of calculations and processes that a traditional computer can handle.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="ce55" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Engineers of course have tried to increase the number of calculations by running processes in parallel and by adding processors and processing channels, but the core is still binary — on or off.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="f508" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Enter quantum computing.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="f302" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">A derivative branch of theoretical physics, the concept behind quantum computing is to process multiple states simultaneously, and especially when under normal binary conditions, the selection of one state precludes the pursuit of another.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="4706" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">At the atomic level, theoretical physicists had long postulated that atoms could exist in states simultaneously, but were very unstable at those states.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="e954" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Recent advances in technology have proved those theories correct and are now making it possible to develop early quantum computers.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="89ee" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">The potential application of such technology, particularly in the realm of financial markets would provide unprecedented advantages for traders looking to eke out what little advantages remain.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="2409" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">But is quantum computing all that it’s “stated” to be?</span></p>\r\n
    <h2 id="a2e4" class="iv iw dp cg ix iy iz eq ja jb jc et jd eu je ew jf ex jg ez jh fa ji fc jj jk em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #10228b;">What Witchcraft is this?</span></h2>\r\n
    <p id="860e" class="hp hq dp hr b eo jl ht hu er jm hw hx hy jn ia ib ic jo ie if ig jp ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">To be sure, the financial industry has had a long and profitable relationship with technology.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="8f15" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">An early adopter of computing and artificial intelligence, over the past decade, more trades have been executed by computers relying on complex algorithms, than humans.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="ed59" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">The bustling roar of the trading floor with its shouting, paper order slips and baseball-style hand signals, have largely been replaced by the high-pitched whir of computers.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="4995" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And now Wall Street is looking to advances in quantum computing, to provide its traders with an edge over the competition.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="b1f8" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Once thought to be in the realm of science fiction, IBM, Google and a handful of smaller upstarts are making significant leaps in the realm of quantum computing, refining their hardware and increasing throughput and speed.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="e000" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And while quantum computers are unlikely to beat non-quantum computers at everything — there are some processes that just don’t need to be run as quantum states, the math which they do excel in is of great interest to traders.</span></p>\r\n
    <h2 id="fcc6" class="iv iw dp cg ix iy iz eq ja jb jc et jd eu je ew jf ex jg ez jh fa ji fc jj jk em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #10228b;">You Don’t Have to Choose</span></h2>\r\n
    <p id="9587" class="hp hq dp hr b eo jl ht hu er jm hw hx hy jn ia ib ic jo ie if ig jp ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Because many trading problems boil down to optimization problems — how do we avoid “if this, then that” type of deterministic situations —quantum computers have an edge over their non-quantum counterparts in that they allow algorithms to have their cake and eat it — there&nbsp;<em class="kl">is</em>&nbsp;no need to choose, because all possible states are available.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="0af7" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Quantum computers would in theory enable traders to boost profits by speeding up asset pricing and identifying mispricing (where the bulk of profits are made) and run the Monte Carlo simulations that most trading algorithms are tested against.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="098f" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">The implications are huge — imagine a quantum computer that could in an instant calculate every single possibility in a financial market for a particular mix of assets and execute those orders automatically in milliseconds — and it immediately becomes clear the sort of advantage this technology would provide.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="ea27" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And the effect that could have on cryptocurrency trading could be enormous.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="ee5c" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">For now, the digital asset markets are not worth enough for traditional bankers and traders to deploy such quantum advantages.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="e6bb" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">The total market cap of all cryptocurrencies currently stands at around US$770 billion, versus the daily value of derivatives traded in the financial markets which is estimated at around US$4 trillion.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="3cd3" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Yet digital asset markets are particularly suited for quantum computing and the edge they would provide.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="5d60" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Unlike traditional financial assets, there are somewhat less variables to cater for when it comes to cryptocurrencies.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="c0bd" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">With the vast majority of cryptocurrencies not backed by any physical asset, they are largely subject to narrative, investor sentiment and market forces — which means that they’re particularly susceptible to FOMO (fear of missing out) and the market emotions of greed and fear.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="8750" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">That also means that cryptocurrencies are more prone to herd behavior than other financial instruments, an area which quantum computing is best suited to process.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="a846" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Because the blockchain on which cryptocurrencies are built provides transparency as to flow information — an inflow of cryptocurrencies into exchanges suggests that investors are looking to sell, whereas an outflow suggests the opposite, that data can be fed into quantum computers to calculate a myriad of states and the outcomes that they could provide.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="47fd" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Quantum computers would also provide a distinct advantage to the cryptocurrency trader in that the vast bulk of cryptocurrency trading is automated.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="7367" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Whereas 20% of trading in financial markets is still done by humans, that figure is estimated to drop to around 5% for cryptocurrency markets by contrast.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="0324" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Because cryptocurrency markets never sleep, automated trading from the early days of cryptocurrency exchanges has been the norm, rather than the exception.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="f128" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And as a growing number of traders from the traditional financial markets trickled into the cryptocurrency space, they brought with them their tool bags of algorithms and automated trading programs based on binary systems.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="4abf" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">But quantum computing has the potential to supercharge cryptocurrency trading, yet not necessarily to provide unfair advantages to those with access to the quantum computing technology, but by making the cryptocurrency markets as a whole somewhat more efficient.</span></p>\r\n
    <h2 id="062e" class="iv iw dp cg ix iy iz eq ja jb jc et jd eu je ew jf ex jg ez jh fa ji fc jj jk em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #10228b;">Quantum Blockchaining</span></h2>\r\n
    <p><img src="/images/Quantum_Blockchaining.jpeg" alt="Quantum_Blockchaining.jpeg" width="660" height="440" /></p>\r\n
    <p id="c5e2" class="hp hq dp hr b eo jl ht hu er jm hw hx hy jn ia ib ic jo ie if ig jp ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;"><br />Because so much of what exists on the blockchain relies on open source software, the ethos with which companies like Google and IBM, which have made their quantum computing programs open source (anyone can download and modify it) as well as portions of their hardware free to use, the possibility of cryptocurrency traders experimenting with quantum computing is very much real.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="885e" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">But many of these resources are being made freely available because quantum computing technology is still relatively unstable.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="9bf0" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">The current state-of-art of quantum computers is that they’re not able to perform calculations at scale that would imbue them with a real world advantage in the markets.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="83e2" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">A measure of quantum computing power is qubits, the functional equivalent of non-quantum computing bits.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="5c95" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And while there are many problems for which a quantum computer with thousands of qubits is provably faster than any non-quantum computer could ever be, that machine still exists in the realm of science fiction.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="af82" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">The main problem with quantum computing hardware is that processing myriad states makes them by design unstable — and as anyone who’s ever operated a computer will attest, stability is an important function, not feature.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="c96d" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">For now, quantum computing needs to make do with tiny unstable machines which can perform calculations in milliseconds before their fragile quantum states break down.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="ee55" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">One way to still glean an advantage from these ephemeral processes of course is to reduce the number of calculations that even require quantum computing processes, so-called “hybrid” quantum computing systems.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="3125" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Last year, Google was the first to demonstrate “quantum supremacy” by using a 53-qubit NISQ machine to perform in minutes, a calculation that would have taken the world’s fastest supercomputer more than 10,000 years.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="ad65" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">IBM, which has invested heavily in quantum computing suggests that it can build a 1,000 qubit quantum computer by 2023.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="829e" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">And both firms have spoken about quantum computers with a million qubits by the end of the decade.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="9a3a" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">If computing history is anything to go by, the odds of achieving such advances are good.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="7e6e" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">In the several decades since the invention of computers, Moore’s Law, which states that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles every two years while the cost of computers halves, has not only been observed, today, many say that it’s no longer valid, with advances in computing well exceeding such observations.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="f243" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">As computers get more powerful, they enable us to take on more complex processes, including building and modeling the quantum computing states needed to design and produce quantum computers.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="84ca" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">Using basic quantum computers we could design more advanced quantum computers and use those more advanced quantum computers to design even more advanced ones&nbsp;<em class="kl">ad infinitum</em>.</span></p>\r\n
    <p id="a8a9" class="hp hq dp hr b eo hs ht hu er hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik dh em" data-selectable-paragraph><span style="color: #000000;">The irony though is that many of those advances will most immediately trickle down into the financial markets where their application is most accessible and that could well include the cryptocurrency markets as well.</span></p>
    """
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  -metakey: "Quantum Shifts in Cryptocurrency Investing"
  -metadesc: "For as long as there have been markets, there have been investors trying to get an edge in them, and quantum computing is the latest shiny tool that is being touted, but can it work?"
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